Predicting the occurrence of cancer‑associated colorectal polyp using a metabolic risk score

  • Authors:
    • Nuengruetai Orannapalai
    • Worapat Attawettayanon
    • Samornmas Kanngern
    • Teeranut Boonpipattanapong
    • Surasak Sangkhathat
  • View Affiliations

  • Published online on: October 21, 2013     https://doi.org/10.3892/mco.2013.204
  • Pages: 124-128
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Abstract

This study was conducted with the aim of developing a metabolic risk score to help identify patients who are likely to have a cancer‑associated polyp (CAP) on colonoscopy, based on a metabolic syndrome‑related clinical profile. The clinical history and anthropometric and metabolic profiles of patients who came for a screening colonoscopy at our institute between June, 2010 and December, 2012 were prospectively collected. The data were analyzed for their association with the occurrence of CAP. Subsequently, six parameters were selected in order to construct a metabolic risk score that correlated with the presence of CAP. A total of 286 subjects (132 males and 154 females), with an age range of 19‑85 years, were included in this study. The colonoscopy detected polyps in 56 cases (19.6%). Anthropometric parameters that were significantly associated with CAP included a body mass index (BMI) of >23.4 kg/m2 and a waist circumference of >32 inches in females. Laboratory profiles that were significantly associated with CAP were fasting blood sugar (FBS) >110 mg%, hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C) >7%, aspartate transaminase (SGOT) >40 IU̸l, alanine transaminase (SGPT) >50 IU̸l and uric acid >7 mg%. When a metabolic risk score was constructed, it was observed that moderate (2‑3) and high risk (4‑6) was significantly associated with CAP [odds ratio (OR)=4.9, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0‑12.0 and OR=13.7, 95% CI: 4.4‑43.0, respectively]. The association between the risk score and CAP was stronger in the subgroup of patients aged <65 years, in whom the moderate and high metabolic risk groups exhibited ORs of 5.6 (95% CI: 1.8‑17.9) and 39.0 (95% CI: 8.2‑186.6), respectively. In conclusion, this study demonstrated that it is possible to use a metabolic profile to construct a reliable scoring method to identify patients at higher risk of having CAP who should be fast‑tracked for a colonoscopy.

Introduction

Metabolic syndrome is a global health problem of increasing prevalence in Western, as well as Asian, countries (1,2). In addition to its known association with cardiovascular diseases (3), recent evidence has suggested an association between the metabolic syndrome and various types of cancer, including colorectal cancer (CRC) (4,5).

Accumulating evidence suggested that visceral obesity, insulin resistance and systemic inflammation may be implicated in the pathophysiological link between metabolic syndrome and CRC development (6). Cytokines produced by adipose tissue may promote inflammation and lead to subsequent adenomatous changes in the colonic epithelium (7). Various studies demonstrated an association between individual components of the metabolic syndrome and colorectal adenoma, a pre-cancerous lesion of CRC (8,9). In this study, we evaluated the association between clinical profiles associated with the metabolic syndrome and the occurrence of colorectal adenoma in Thai patients. Furthermore, a metabolic risk scoring system was constructed, based on clinical and laboratory items that exhibited a significant association with this disease.

Patients and methods

Patient history

Patients aged >15 years who underwent a colonoscopy at the NKC Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Songklanagarind Hospital, between June, 2010 and December, 2012, were enrolled in this study. Cases with known colonic pathology, either colonic polyp or CRC, were excluded. Medical history regarding a previous diagnosis of hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus or cancer in a family member was obtained through a structured interview. Lifestyle history included tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, vegetable consumption and exercise. Anthropometric measurements were performed on the date of the endoscopy. Blood pressure was measured twice with a 10-min interval, using a manual sphygmomanometer.

Laboratory profiles

Laboratory profiles, including fasting blood sugar (FBS), hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C), triglyceride, low- and high-density lipoprotein, aspartate transaminase (SGOT), alanine transaminase (SGPT) and uric acid levels were recorded on the morning of the endoscopy. All colonoscopies were performed by or under the close supervision of a colorectal surgeon. The endoscopist was blinded to the metabolic history and laboratory results. Once a polyp was detected, a biopsy sample was collected for histopathological examination. A polyp was characterized as a cancer-associated polyp (CAP) when it was found to be an adenomatous polyp including elements of tubular, villous, tubulovillous or serrated adenoma. Other types of polyp or carcinoma were excluded from the association analysis.

Statistical analysis

Continuous data are presented as the means unless stated otherwise. Non-continuous data are presented as numbers with percentage values. The possible associations between demographic or metabolic parameters and CAP were analyzed using the Chi-square test and univariate logistic regression analysis. P<0.05 was considered to indicate a statistically significant difference.

Results

Demographic data

A total of 289 subjects underwent a colonoscopy at our institute during the study period. Three cases of CRC were excluded, leaving a total of 286 subjects (132 males and 154 females) for association analysis. The mean age of the patients was 52 years, with 45 cases (16%) aged >65 years. The mean body mass index (BMI) of the patients was 23.4 kg/m2 (range, 13.3–50 kg/m2). The reasons for undergoing a colonoscopy included hematochezia (101 cases, 35%), abdominal pain (50 cases, 18%), changes in bowel habits (45 cases, 16%), asymptomatic (49 cases, 17%), constipation (31 cases, 10%) and other (10 cases, 3%). The overall polyp detection rate was 25% (72 out of the 286 cases). CAP was detected in 56 cases (19.6%). The incidence of CAP was not found to be associated with any symptoms that would lead the physician to recommend a colonoscopy (Table I).

Table I.

Association between metabolic syndrome-related laboratory parameters and CAP.

Table I.

Association between metabolic syndrome-related laboratory parameters and CAP.

ParametersCases (n=286)CAP
P-value
Absent (%)Present (%)
Total286230 (80.4)56 (19.6)
Age (years)<0.01
  <65241203 (84.2)38 (15.8)
  >654527 (60.0)18 (40.0)
Gender0.21
  Male132102 (77.3)30 (22.7)
  Female154128 (83.1)26 (16.9)
History of hypertension<0.01
  No226194 (85.8)32 (14.2)
  Yes6036 (60.0)24 (40.0)
History of dyslipidemia<0.01
  No255213 (83.5)42 (16.5)
  Yes3117 (54.8)14 (45.1)
History of DM<0.01
  No265218 (82.3)47 (17.7)
  Yes2112 (57.1)9 (42.9)
Hypertension0.02
  No231192 (83.1)39 (16.9)
  Yes5538 (69.1)17 (30.9)
BMI (kg/m2)0.02
  ≤23.4148127 (85.8)21 (14.2)
  >23.4138103 (74.6)35 (25.4)
Waist circumference (in.)
  Male0.82
    ≤3511690 (77.6)26 (22.4)
    >351612 (75.0)4 (25.0)
  Female0.02
    ≤32122106 (86.9)16 (13.1)
    >323222 (68.6)10 (31.3)
Hip circumference (in.)
  Male0.56
    ≤3710280 (78.4)22 (21.6)
    >373022 (73.3)8 (26.7)
  Female0.07
    ≤3711196 (86.5)15 (13.5)
    >374332 (74.4)11 (25.6)

[i] CAP, cancer-associated polyp; DM, diabetes mellitus; BMI, body mass index; in., inches.

Univariate and multivariate analysis of the association between metabolic profiles and CAP

On univariate analysis, a clinical history of chronic disease, including hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidemia was significantly associated with the occurrence of CAP (Table I). The anthropometric parameters that exhibited an association with CAP were high blood pressure and BMI >23.4 kg/m2. In females, a high waist and hip circumference (>32 and >37 inches, respectively) were also significantly associated with CAP. None of the lifestyle history items were found to be associated with CAP.

The laboratory profiles that were associated with CAP included FBS, HbA1C, hepatic transaminases and uric acid levels (Table II). Notably, lipid profiles did not exhibit a significant correlation with the occurrence of polyps. The parameters that were found to be association with CAP are summarized along with their odds ratios (ORs) in Table III.

Table II.

Association between metabolic syndrome-related laboratory parameters and CAP.

Table II.

Association between metabolic syndrome-related laboratory parameters and CAP.

ParameterCases (n=286)CAP
P-value
Absent (%)Present (%)
FBS (mg%)<0.01
  ≤110263218 (82.9)45 (17.1)
  >1102312 (52.2)11 (47.8)
HbA1C (%)<0.01
  ≤7.0274224 (81.8)50 (18.3)
  >7.0126 (50.0)6 (50.0)
HDL (mg%)0.44
  ≤34.91914 (73.7)5 (26.3)
  >34.9267216 (80.9)51 (19.1)
LDL (mg%)0.241
  ≤160164128 (78.0)36 (22.0)
  >160122102 (83.6)20 (16.4)
TG (mg%)0.973
  ≤200255205 (80.4)50 (19.6)
  >2003125 (80.7)6 (19.3)
SGOT (IU/l)<0.01
  ≤40262216 (82.4)46 (17.6)
  >402414 (58.3)10 (41.7)
SGPT (IU/l)<0.01
  ≤50268200 (82.6)68 (17.9)
  >501810 (55.6)8 (44.4)
Uric acid (mg%)<0.01
  ≤7213180 (84.5)33 (15.5)
  >77350 (68.5)23 (31.5)

[i] CAP, cancer-associated polyp; FBS, fasting blood sugar; HbA1C, hemoglobin A1C; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; TG, triglyceride; SGOT, aspartate transaminase; SGPT, alanine transaminase.

Table III.

Parameters significantly associated with CAP.

Table III.

Parameters significantly associated with CAP.

ParametersOR95% CI
Age >65 years3.301.67–6.50
History of hypertension4.042.14–7.65
History of DM3.481.39–8.73
History of dyslipidemia4.181.91–9.12
BMI >23.4 kg/m22.061.13–3.75
Hypertensiona2.201.13–4.29
FBS >110 mg%4.441.84–10.69
HbA1C >7%4.481.39–14.47
SGOT >40 IU/l3.351.40–8.02
SGPT >50 IU/l3.671.38–9.78
Uric acid >7 mg%2.511.35–4.65

a Systolic blood pressure >140 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure >90 mmHg. CAP, cancer-associated polyp; DM, diabetes mellitus; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; BMI, body mass index; FBS, fasting blood sugar; HbA1C, hemoglobin A1C; SGOT, aspartate transaminase; SGPT, alanine transaminase.

On multivariate analysis, three factors were found to be independently associated with CAP: age >60 years (OR=3.9, 95% CI: 2.0–7.4), FBS >110 mg% (OR=2.9; 95% CI: 1.1–7.4) and uric acid >7 mg% (OR=2.0; 95% CI: 1.0–3.9).

Construction and validation of metabolic scoring system

Six metabolic items were selected to construct a metabolic scoring system that may accurately predict the occurrence of CAP in patients scheduled for a colonoscopy, irrespective of their age and presenting symptoms. This metabolic risk scoring system is presented in Table IV. When the score was validated with the cases, it was observed that moderate (23) and high scores (46) were significantly associated with CAP at ORs of 4.9 (95% CI: 2.0–12.0) and 13.7 (95% CI: 4.4–42.9), respectively (Table V, Fig. 1). Taking into consideration the age of the patients as an interacting factor, the subgroup analysis demonstrated that the metabolic score was associated with CAP only in the subgroup aged <65 years, but not in that aged ≥65 years. In the <65-year subgroup, the OR for moderate and high metabolic scores was increased to 5.6 (95% CI: 1.8–17.9) and 39.0 (95% CI: 8.2–186.6), respectively (Table V).

Table IV.

Metabolic risk score constructed by clinical history, anthropometric measurements and laboratory profiles.

Table IV.

Metabolic risk score constructed by clinical history, anthropometric measurements and laboratory profiles.

Clinical historyAnthropometric and laboratory parametersPoints
ObesityBMI >23.4 kg/m21
HypertensionHistory of hypertension, or SBP >140 mmHg, or DBP >90 mmHg1
DMHistory of DM, or FBS >110 mg%, or HbA1C >7%1
DyslipidemiaHistory of dyslipidemia1
TransaminitisSGOT >40 IU/l; SGPT >50 IU/l1
HyperuricemiaSerum uric acid >7 mg%1
Total-6

[i] BMI, body mass index; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; DM, diabetes mellitus; FBS, fasting blood sugar; HbA1C, hemoglobin A1C; SGOT, aspartate transaminase; SGPT, alanine transaminase.

Table V.

Odds ratios of metabolic risk score, compared between all patients and the subgroup of patients aged <65 years.

Table V.

Odds ratios of metabolic risk score, compared between all patients and the subgroup of patients aged <65 years.

Patient subgroupMetabolic risk score
012–34–6
All patientsReference1.8 (0.7–4.9)4.9 (2.0–12.0)13.7 (4.4–43.0)
Subgroup <65 yearsReference2.3 (0.7–8.1)5.6 (1.8–17.9)39.0 (8.2–186.6)

Discussion

The detection and removal of an adenomatous polyps has been proven to be an effective screening tool that reduces CRC-related mortality (10,11). However, the standard protocol recommends that screening is initiated after the age of 50 years. Previous studies have suggested that there is a certain degree of correlation between metabolic syndrome and colorectal adenoma, a precancerous lesion of CRC (1214), our study aimed to develop a risk determinant for younger patients who may benefit from screening on the basis of their metabolic profiles and associated clinical history.

The general adenoma detection rate of 20% for both sexes, 23% in males and 17% in females, is in line with standard quality indicators in colonoscopic practice (15). Our data confirmed a certain degree of correlation between individual clinical parameters associated with metabolic syndrome and colorectal adenoma and demonstrated that the association was stronger in the subgroup of patients aged <65 years. This finding may be explained by the fact that age exerts a significant effect on the incidence of CRC. When the factor of age was subtracted, the association between other parameters and the disease became more apparent.

We investigated fundamental clinical parameters, such as history of chronic diseases, with the hypothesis that, under certain circumstances, these parameters may be more revealing compared to laboratory tests. One example from our study that confirmed this hypothesis was the case of dyslipidemia, for which the medical history, but not the lipid profiles, indicated an association with CAP in our patients. The metabolic risk score was then constructed to cover all the aspects of the metabolic syndrome, by using less objective data, such as medical history, and more objective items, including anthropometric measurements and laboratory profiles. Our positive findings indicated that further validation of our approach in another set of subjects is required.

Unlike other cohorts (14,15), we did not identify a significant association between serum lipid profiles and CAP detection. This may be attributed to the relatively smaller size of our study compared to earlier studies. Furthermore, a number of our patients were receiving medication for dyslipidemia. Under such circumstances, it may be more useful to investigate other markers of visceral obesity that are not interfered with by treatment, such as serum adipokines.

In conclusion, our study confirmed a correlation between individual parameters in the metabolic syndrome and the occurrence of colorectal adenoma in Thai subjects. Furthermore, this study constructed a metabolic risk scoring system that may help identify patients at risk of having CAP.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the staff at the NKC Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology for their contribution in conducting this study.

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Spandidos Publications style
Orannapalai N, Attawettayanon W, Kanngern S, Boonpipattanapong T and Sangkhathat S: Predicting the occurrence of cancer‑associated colorectal polyp using a metabolic risk score. Mol Clin Oncol 2: 124-128, 2014
APA
Orannapalai, N., Attawettayanon, W., Kanngern, S., Boonpipattanapong, T., & Sangkhathat, S. (2014). Predicting the occurrence of cancer‑associated colorectal polyp using a metabolic risk score. Molecular and Clinical Oncology, 2, 124-128. https://doi.org/10.3892/mco.2013.204
MLA
Orannapalai, N., Attawettayanon, W., Kanngern, S., Boonpipattanapong, T., Sangkhathat, S."Predicting the occurrence of cancer‑associated colorectal polyp using a metabolic risk score". Molecular and Clinical Oncology 2.1 (2014): 124-128.
Chicago
Orannapalai, N., Attawettayanon, W., Kanngern, S., Boonpipattanapong, T., Sangkhathat, S."Predicting the occurrence of cancer‑associated colorectal polyp using a metabolic risk score". Molecular and Clinical Oncology 2, no. 1 (2014): 124-128. https://doi.org/10.3892/mco.2013.204