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Oral cancer is a significant public health issue, with approximately 300,000 new cases reported annually worldwide (1). Approximately 90% of oral cancer pathologies are squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs). Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) shows high incidence and mortality rates, particularly in developing countries. Although the development of treatment strategies has been remarkable, the 5-year survival rate often remains below 50% (2). Despite the good local control of OSCC, distant metastases often result in poor outcomes. In the existing standard treatment regimen for OSCC, surgery is the first choice, and chemoradiotherapy is strongly recommended as postoperative adjuvant therapy in patients with a high risk of postoperative recurrence. High-risk factors for recurrence include T size, resection margin positivity, extranodal extension, and multiple lymph node metastases. However, only a few factors can be used to evaluate future metastasis.
Liquid biopsy has attracted attention for its usefulness in various types of cancers, including colorectal and breast cancers. Its utility in OSCC is anticipated. In a previous study, associations were reported between the number of circulating tumour cells (CTC) clusters and prognosis, as well as between the size and quantity of cfDNA and prognosis (3). In this study, next-generation sequencing (NGS) analysis of cfDNA was performed in two patients with inferior prognoses due to distant metastases. They were compared with mutation data from a clinical cancer panel test and two commonly mutated genes were detected, TP53 and CDKN2A, in both cases. CDKN2A and TP53 are frequently mutated genes in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) (4) and OSCC (5). CDKN2A, or p16, is an essential tumour suppressor gene that regulates cell growth by preventing the progression from the G1 phase to the S phase of the cell cycle (6). TP53 is a suppressor gene referred to as ‘the guardian of the gene’. TP53 responds to various cellular stresses to control the expression of target genes, which subsequently trigger cell cycle arrest, apoptosis, senescence, or DNA repair. The IHC for CDKN2A and TP53 in patients with pathologically positive lymph node metastases were performed, thereby offering a new prognostic feature for metastasis.
As reported previously (3), peripheral blood (PB) was obtained from patients 1 and 2 prior to surgery; patient 1 (48 years old, male, Tongue cancer, Stage IVA) and patient 2 (23 years old, male, Tongue cancer, Stage IVA) were recruited in March and January 2023, respectively, and the blood samples were collected at Hiroshima University Hospital. cfDNA was extracted using the MagMAX cfDNA isolation kit (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA) following the manufacturer's protocol. NGS was carried out by Macrogen Inc. (Seoul, Korea) using the Axen Cancer Panel 2 (Table SI). First, shared mutated genes were identified between cfDNA mutation data and tissue mutation data from a clinical cancer panel test within the same patient. Next, the commonalities between patients 1 and 2 were determined. The clinical relevance of the variants was identified using the ClinVar or OncoKB database (7).
Overall, 537 patients with oral cancer visited the Department of Oral Maxillofacial Surgery at Hiroshima University Hospital between January 2014 and December 2023. Of them, 481 patients underwent radical surgery. Among the 481 patients, 65 with pathologically positive lymphoid metastases (pN(+)) were selected (Fig. 1) (Table SII). The medical records and tissue samples of the patients included in this study were accessed specifically for this research starting in May 2023. Inclusion criteria included (1) absence of distant metastases at diagnosis, (2) receipt of surgical treatment, and (3) complete follow-up data. Exclusion criteria included (1) distant metastases at diagnosis, (2) non-surgical treatment, and (3) incomplete follow-up data. All medical records, including disease characteristics, diagnostic methods, and treatments, were retrospectively reviewed. All patients were diagnosed according to the TNM classification of oral cancer (8). The clinical endpoints of this study were based on the FDA's ‘Clinical Trial Endpoints for the Approval of Cancer Drugs and Biologics’ guidelines, which include a 5-year evaluation period. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). OS was defined as the time from the date of the initial diagnosis to death from any cause.
IHC for CDKN2A was performed as previously described (9). Briefly, 4-µm formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue sections on amino silane-coated glass slides (MATSUNAMI, Osaka, Japan) were deparaffinised in xylene (FUJIFILM Wako Pure Chemical Corporation, Osaka, Japan) and rehydrated using an alcohol gradient (FUJIFILM Wako). Antigen retrieval was performed using 10 mM sodium citrate buffer (pH 6.0) in an autoclave (HV-5; HIRAYAMA, Saitama, Japan). Sections were incubated overnight at 4˚C with a 1:100 dilution of mouse monoclonal anti-CDKN2SA/p16INK4A antibody (sc-56330, Santa Cruz Biotechnology, TX, USA) or a 1:100 dilution of mouse monoclonal anti-p53 antibody (DO-1, Santa Cruz Biotechnology). Detection was performed using EnVision+ System-HRP anti-mouse (Dako, Agilent Technologies, Santa Clara, CA, USA) for 30 min, followed by visualisation with 3,3'-diaminobenzidine (DAB) (Dako) and counterstaining with haematoxylin (FUJIFILM Wako). The slides were dehydrated, mounted, and covered with coverslips (NEO cover glass; MATSUNAMI). Images were captured using a Nikon DS-Ri2 camera (Nikon Corporation, Tokyo, Japan) and a Nikon Eclipse E800 microscope (Nikon Corporation).
Immunohistochemical staining was evaluated based on the intensity and percentage of positively stained cells. Cases were considered ‘positive’ when the CDKN2A-positive region was expressed more than 70%, and the TP53-positive region was expressed more than 60%, according to previously reported thresholds (10-12).
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Hiroshima University (approval numbers: epidemiology 2016-9191 and epidemiology 2023-0025).
All statistical analyses were conducted using JMP Pro (version 16.2.0, SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). The association between OS and factors and the IHC results of CDKN2A/TP53 expression and OS were examined using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the log-rank test. To further assess the prognostic significance of CDKN2A positivity, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed.
cfDNA NGS was performed for patients 1 and 2 as preliminary exploratory observations. Forty-one and 40 genetic mutations were detected in cfDNAs of patients 1 and 2, respectively. Some common tumour tissue mutations were previously detected in each patient. CDKN2A, ERBB3, MAP3K1, STK11, and TP53 were common mutations identified in patient 1. In patient 2, CCNE1, CDKN2A, NOTCH1, NOTCH2, TERT, and TP53 were common between tissues and cfDNA. Among these, two genes, CDKN2A and TP53, were shared between patients 1 and 2 (Fig. 2). Specifically, TP53_c.524G>A_p.R175H/CDKN2A_ c.340C>T_p. P114 and TP53_c.569delC_p.P190fs*57, _c.733G>A _p.G245S/CDKN2A_c.247C>A_p. H83N were shared both in tumour tissue and cfDNA, respectively, in patients 1 and 2 (Table I). Although the positions of the mutated base differed between patients 1 and 2, they were all pathological mutations. Therefore, the relationship between IHC staining for CDKN2A and TP53 and OSCC prognosis was investigated.
The characteristics of the 65 patients with SCC included in this study are summarised in Table II. Of the 65 patients, 43 (66.2%) were males and 22 (33.8%) were females; the average age was 68 years. The primary tumour sites included the tongue (32.3%), mandibular gingiva (27.7%), the floor of the mouth (16.9%), buccal mucosa (10.8%), maxillary gingiva (10.8%), and others (1.5%). Tumour size distribution showed that 17 patients (26.2%) had Tis/T1/T2 tumours, and 48 patients (73.8%) had T3/T4 tumours.
IHC images were assessed, as shown in Fig. 3. CDKN2A expression was positive in 12 patients (18.5%) and negative in 53 (81.5%). Of the CDKN2A-positive and CDKN2A-negative patients, six (6/12, 50%) and nine (9/53, 16.9%) showed metastasis (Fig. 1). In the Fisher's exact test for distant metastasis, the IHC CDKN2A-positive group showed a significantly higher metastasis rate (Table III).
Five-year survival rates were examined based on the positive and negative immunohistochemical results for CDKN2A and TP53. The CDKN2A-positive group showed a significantly decreased survival rate (hazard ratio=3.63, 95% CI: 1.36-9.68, P=0.01) (Fig. 4A), but there were no significant differences for TP53 (Fig. 4B). Furthermore, the results of the multivariate cox proportional hazards model indicated that CDKN2A positivity remained a significant independent predictor of poor prognosis after adjusting IHC results, age, smoking history, alcohol dose, and tumour size (hazard ratio=1.75, 95% CI: 017-1.60, P-value=0.0179) (Table IV).
This study was designed based on the commonalities of tumour tissue and cfDNA sequencing data to identify new prognostic features of metastasis. Most of the mutations detected in cfDNA sequencing are not pathogenic mutations. However, a few pathogenic mutated genes, TP53 and CDKN2A, were common in both tumour tissues and cfDNA. TP53_p.R175H/_p.G245S mutation, previously reported pathogenic variant, is located in the DNA binding domain, resulting in loss of function. TP53_p.R175H is found in acute myeloid leukaemia (13). TP53_p.G245S has been frequently found in hepatocellular carcinoma (14). TP53_p.P190fs*57 is a truncated mutation, resulting in the loss of function. Those truncated mutations show a relatively strong association with poor prognosis in HNSCC (15). CDKN2A_p. P114S/_p. H83N mutation is located in the ankyrin repeats of the p16/INK4A protein, resulting in loss of function. CDKN2A_p. P114S, previously reported pathogenic variant, was identified as a germline variant in families affected by melanoma (16). Though TP53_c.569delC_p.P190fs*57 and CDKN2A_c.247C>A_p. H83N are not reported mutations, they are predicted as pathogenic mutation in silico analysis using mutation taster (https://www.mutationtaster.org/index.html).
cfDNA was previously assessed at two points, pre- and post-operation, and reported that the group with distant metastases showed significantly higher amounts of cfDNA than those without distant metastases both preoperatively and postoperatively (3). In reference 3, we showed that though only three genes (TP53, HRAS, and MLH1) were classified as pathogenic in 13 patients, two patients, who commonly possessed TP53_c.215C>G_p.Pro72Arg, showed short-term distant metastasis. Despite the limited overlap in mutations among patients, these findings underscore the clinical relevance of cfDNA mutation profiling (3). If the same genetic mutations in cfDNA can be detected both preoperatively and postoperatively or the comparison of those genetic mutations can be performed, it would further support the clinical relevance of such findings.
Specifically, the relationship between CDKN2A/TP53 IHC expression and prognosis was investigated in 65 patients with pN(+) OSCC. pN(+) was selected to evaluate the high-risk group for metastasis because, as commonly reported, the pN(+) group had a higher distant metastasis rate of 22% (15/65), than those of the pN(-) group, 5% (2/40) (Table SII). The following were key findings: in 65 patients with pN(+) OSCC, CDKN2A expression was positive in 18.5% (12/65) of the patients and negative in 81.5% (53/65), whereas no such difference was found for TP53. The CDKN2A-positive group resulted in metastasis in 50% of cases (6/12). This result contradicts our expectations. Regarding the oropharynx, Fakhry et al (17) assessed whether HPV infection was present or absent and concluded that the HPV-positive group (CDKN2A-positive group) in the oropharynx had a better prognosis, showing better radiosensitivity. This present case may have been different because it consisted of 86.2% (56/65) cases of surgical alone and 13.8% (9/65) surgical plus adjuvant radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy. Hong et al (18) reported that, in oropharyngeal cancer, while surgery alone cases were deemed insufficient in number for their multivariable analysis, HPV status predicts better outcomes treated with surgery plus adjuvant radiotherapy as well as with definitive radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy. In Fakhry et al (17) and Hong et al (18), the assessment was not based on IHC-CHKN2A negativity or positivity but also considered the presence of HPV16 DNA using in situ hybridisation or PCR. Ni et al (19) reported that CDKN2A overexpression decoupled from HPV infection was not a prognostic marker for patients with OSCC.
CDKN2A is widely recognised as a tumour suppressor gene that controls cell proliferation by preventing the progression from the G1 phase to the S phase of the cell cycle (20). In normal cells with proliferative potential, the expression of CDKN2A is very low, and CDKN2A has little function. However, when normal cells reach the mitotic lifespan or undergo oncogenic stress, CDKN2A gene expression is markedly elevated, and cellular senescence occurs (21). Beyond phenomena related to invasion and metastasis, Shi et al (22), reported that in the colorectal cancer cell line, HT-29, CDKN2A could induce the epithelial-mesenchymal transition, showing that knock downed CDKN2A expression was followed by enhanced E-cadherin expression and suppression of N-cadherin and vimentin expression. Cheng et al (23), reported that CDKN2A mediates cuproptosis, a type of cell death characterised by excessive copper-lipid reactions in the tricarboxylic acid cycle, resistance through regulating glycolysis and copper homeostasis, accompanied by a malignant phenotype and pro-tumour niche, also using colorectal cancer cell line. They concluded that radiation and chemotherapy are expected to potentially serve as therapeutic approaches for cuproptosis-resistant colorectal cancer with high CDKN2A expression (23). Given the limited literature investigating these phenomena in OSCC, future studies should aim to 1) elucidate the molecular pathways by which CDKN2A influences cell motility, epithelial-mesenchymal transition, and invasion using in vitro OSCC models 2) evaluate metastatic potential in vivo between CDKN2A-over expressing and CDKN2A-deficient OSCC xenografts 3) use single-cell transcriptomics or proteomics analyses to gain deeper insight into how CDKN2A expression modulates cellular behavior at the invasive front of OSCC lesions.
Despite these promising findings, the limitations of this study warrant further consideration. First, the retrospective nature of this study might have induced selection bias, as only patients who underwent surgery and had available pathology reports were included. Second is the lack of HPV status assessment. Since CDKN2A (p16) overexpression is often considered a surrogate marker for HPV-related oncogenesis, especially in head and neck cancers, the inability to account for HPV infection status may confound the interpretation of CDKN2A expression in this cohort. Although the prognostic significance of CDKN2A expression has been well established in oropharyngeal cancers, particularly in HPV-positive cases, less attention has been given to CDKN2A's role in OSCC. Most studies focus on the strong association between p16 expression and HPV status in oropharyngeal cancer, where p16 overexpression is often considered a surrogate marker for HPV infection. However, OSCC, which is primarily HPV-negative, presents a different biological context. Future studies should incorporate HPV testing to better clarify this relationship. This study addresses this gap by investigating the independent role of CDKN2A expression in OSCC, irrespective of HPV infection. Evidence that CDKN2A dysregulation in OSCC may be associated with tumour progression, metastasis, and poorer prognosis was provided, independent of HPV status. This finding is particularly important as it expands the understanding of CDKN2A as a prognostic marker in head and neck cancers beyond HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancers. Results suggest that CDKN2A could serve as a valuable biomarker in OSCC, offering insights into its potential role in cancer progression and therapeutic targeting. Third is the sample size. Because the sample size is very small, two samples for NGS and twelve samples for IHC CDKN2A-positive patients, these results should be seen as preliminary and interpreted with caution. Although further studies involving a larger patient cohort are necessary to confirm these preliminary observations, these findings suggest a potential prognostic role for CDKN2A expression. Assessing CDKN2A expression could help stratify patients based on their risks and tailor treatment strategies accordingly. For example, the CDKN2A-positive group, which we assumed to be a high-metastasis group, could be managed with more aggressive treatment regimens or closer follow-up. Further research will contribute to the development of personalised cancer therapies and improve OSCC prognosis (Fig. 5).
This study addresses this gap by investigating the independent role of CDKN2A expression in OSCC, irrespective of HPV infection. We provide evidence that CDKN2A dysregulation in OSCC may be associated with tumour progression, metastasis, and poorer prognosis, independent of HPV status. This finding is particularly important as it expands the understanding of CDKN2A as a prognostic marker in head and neck cancers beyond HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancers. The results suggest that CDKN2A could serve as a valuable biomarker in OSCC, offering insights into its potential role in cancer progression and therapeutic targeting. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that the CDKN2A-positive group had a high metastasis rate, resulting in a poorer prognosis. CDKN2A expression is a potential prognostic marker for OSCC.
We are grateful to Professor T. Hinoi, Dr H. Niitsu and Dr H. Nakahara (Department of Clinical and Molecular Genetics, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan) for kindly allowing us to share the clinical cancer panel test and advising us for the ethical application.
Funding: This research was supported in part by Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B) (grant no. 22H03292), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) (grant no. 22K10146), and Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) (grant no. 22K10148) from the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology.
The data generated in the present study may be requested from the corresponding author. The following three mutations, NM_000546.6(TP53):c.524G>A (p.Arg175His), NM_000546.6(TP53):c.733G>A (p.Gly245Ser) and NM_000077.5(CDKN2A):c.340C>T (p.Pro114Ser), are reported mutations and their URLs are as follows, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/clinvar/RCV000013173.22/, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/clinvar/variation/12365/, and https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/clinvar/RCV001915587/, respectively. The NGS data have been deposited with links to Biosample accession number SAMD01605716 (patient 1) and SAMD01611905 (patient 2) in the DDBJ Biosample database, https://ddbj.nig.ac.jp/search/entry/biosample/SAMD01605716 and https://ddbj.nig.ac.jp/search/entry/biosample/SAMD01611905.
SoY and AH designed the experiments. NE, AH, AT, MH, FO, NI, SaY, RT, TS, KK and SoY performed the experiments. NE, AH and SoY confirmed the authenticity of all the raw data, and wrote and reviewed the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
The Research Ethics Board of Hiroshima University approved this study. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Patients 1 and 2 provided written informed consent to participate in the study, which was approved by the Ethics Committee of Hiroshima University (approval no. epidemiology 2016-9191). For IHC, written informed consent was not obtained from patients for publication because this was a retrospective study. This retrospective observational study was approved by the Research Ethics Board of Hiroshima University (approval no. epidemiology 2023-0025).
Not applicable.
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
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