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Prognostic value and predictive biomarkers of synergistic interaction between tumor‑associated macrophages and cancer stem cells in colorectal cancer
Cancer stem cells (CSCs) and tumor‑associated macrophages (TAMs) are associated with the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC). Emerging studies indicate active crosstalk between CSCs and TAMs within the tumor microenvironment. However, the prognostic implications of integrating CSC‑ and TAM‑associated markers for risk stratification remain incompletely defined in CRC. Expression levels of CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 were assessed by immunohistochemistry. Pearson's chi‑square test was employed to analyze correlations between marker expression and clinicopathological parameters. The Kaplan‑Meier method and log‑rank test were used to determine survival differences and identify potential prognostic factors. Variables achieving statistical significance (P<0.05) in the univariate analysis were subsequently included in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model to analyze independent predictors of overall survival. The results demonstrated that a combined expression profile of high CD86 with low CD163, CD44 and CD133 was significantly associated with prolonged survival. CD86 expression was negatively correlated with CD133 and CD44, while CD163 showed positive correlations with both markers. In addition, elevated CD163 and CD133 levels were positively correlated with poorer prognosis in patients with CRC. In conclusion, it was suggested that different TAM phenotypes in combination with CSC‑related biomarkers serve as potential biomarkers for CRC onset and progression.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents a pressing global health burden. Contemporary CRC management adopts a multimodal approach integrating surgical resection, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, immunotherapy, and complementary modalities such as traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) (1). Surgical intervention remains the cornerstone for localized disease, while systemic therapy is predominantly based on chemotherapy regimens incorporating fluorouracil, oxaliplatin and irinotecan. Radiotherapy plays a crucial role in the management of rectal cancer, particularly in the neoadjuvant setting where it reduces local recurrence (3). Recent advances in immunotherapy, especially for mismatch repair-deficient tumors, have shown encouraging clinical outcomes (4). Additionally, TCM and novel nanomedicine approaches are being increasingly explored as complementary approaches to enhance treatment efficacy and reduce side effects (5,6). Despite these diverse treatment options, CRC remains one of the most common malignancies globally and ranks as the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality (7). In the United States alone, ~153,020 new CRC cases were projected in 2023, with 52,550 deaths, including 19,550 cases and 3,750 deaths among individuals under 50 years of age (8). Although regular screening, surveillance and high-quality treatment can prevent a substantial proportion of CRC morbidity and mortality (9), recurrence and metastasis remain frequent. Among patients with metastatic CRC, ~70-75% survive beyond 1 year, 30-35% remain alive at 3 years, while the 5-year survival rate falls below 20% (10). Therefore, there is an urgent need to identify reliable biomarkers that can enable early and accurate prognostic assessment.
In a variety of solid tumors, both the density and polarization status of TAMs are strongly associated with patient prognostic outcomes. In CRC, high infiltration of M1-polarized TAMs is associated with a favorable prognosis across various disease stages (11), whereas elevated levels of M2 TAMs often portend a poorer prognosis, a phenomenon observed in multiple cancer types, including thyroid, lung, stomach and breast cancers (12). While macrophage enrichment is usually linked to adverse tumor outcomes, this correlation appears to be reversed in CRC (13). Nevertheless, the role of TAMs within the CRC tumor microenvironment (TME) remains complex, and some studies have shown that TAMs are associated with poor prognosis in patients with CRC (14). Several investigations have found that CD68+ TAMs are predominantly distributed in the CRC tumor stroma, especially at the invasive front, and that CD68+ TAMs infiltration at these sites correlates with improved prognosis in patients with CRC (15). However, TAMs of distinct subtypes and spatial distributions exert different prognostic significance in CRC: For instance, infiltration of CD68+ TAMs and M2-type TAMs is linked to unfavorable outcomes (16). Collectively, TAMs play diverse roles in the prognosis of CRC, and their number, subtype, and spatial distribution within the TME, as well as their impact on patient outcomes, are complex. These findings emphasize the importance of in-depth studies of TAM properties and the search for specific TAM markers to inform therapeutic strategies and improve prognostic assessment.
In recent years, cancer stem cells (CSCs) have been extensively studied as key drivers underlying core hallmarks of tumor progression, including distant metastasis, recurrence and drug resistance (17). CSCs exhibit long-term self-renewal capacity and metastatic potential across a variety of malignancies, including CRC (18). In CRC, CD133+/CD44+ CSCs populations have been shown to correlate negatively with both disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) (19). Combined detection of CD133/CD44 expression enhances the identification of colorectal CSCs (20). The TME engages in complex crosstalk with CSCs, which are often characterized by immune suppression and low immunogenicity in CRCs (21). Furthermore, Luo et al (22) reported that CSCs can recruit TAMs into the TME and accelerate their polarization into tumor-promoting phenotypes, whereas TAMs in turn maintain CSC stemness and construct niches unfavorable to the survival of patients with CSC. Although the prognostic values of TAMs or CSC markers have been investigated individually, studies analyzing their combined effects and synergistic interactions on patient prognosis are scarce. Most previous studies have examined TAMs or CSC markers in isolation, failing to capture the prognostic power embedded within their interplay. Therefore, it was hypothesized that a combined biomarker panel reflecting this TAM-CSC synergy may provide superior prognostic stratification compared with individual markers alone.
In the present study, the expression of key TAM markers (CD86 for M1-like and CD163 for M2-like phenotypes) and CSC markers (CD44 and CD133) was simultaneously investigated in a cohort of patients with CRC. The primary objective of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of their combined expression and to determine whether this synergistic biomarker panel could serve as an independent predictor of survival, potentially offering a more refined tool for risk assessment in CRC.
A total of 71 patients with CRC who underwent surgical resection from April 2018 to April 2020 at Luoyang Central Hospital Affiliated with Zhengzhou University (Luoyang, China) were included in the present study. In addition, 20 adjacent normal tissue samples were collected as controls. Inclusion criteria were as follows: i) age ≥18 years; ii) availability of complete clinical and pathological data; and iii) follow-up duration >6 months. Exclusion criteria included: i) receipt of neoadjuvant therapy prior to surgery; ii) presence of other synchronous malignancies; and iii) incomplete medical records or loss to follow-up. Clinicopathological parameters, including age, sex, tumor differentiation, depth of invasion and TNM stage, were obtained from pathology reports and electronic surgical records. All cases were histologically confirmed as primary colorectal adenocarcinoma. Patients were followed up until April 10, 2024. Tissue samples from these patients were subsequently subjected to immunohistochemical (IHC) analysis. The study was approved (approval no. LWLL-2018-03-07-01) by the Institutional Review Board and Human Ethics Committee of Luoyang Central Hospital Affiliated with Zhengzhou University. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants or their legal guardians prior to inclusion in the study.
For IHC reactions, tissue specimens were fixed in 10% buffered formalin for 24-48 h, embedded in paraffin, and sectioned at a thickness of 4 µm. Sections were dewaxed in xylene and rehydrated through a graded series of ethanol. Endogenous peroxidase activity was blocked by incubating sections in 3% hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) for 10 min, followed by microwave heating for 3 min to reduce nonspecific binding activity. Nonspecific binding sites were further blocked with 5% bovine serum albumin (Boster Biological Technology) at 37˚C or 30 min. Slides were then incubated overnight at 4˚C with primary antibodies against CD86 (1:200; cat. no. 26903-1-AP), CD163 (1:200; cat no. 16646-1-AP), CD44 (1:200; cat no. 15675-1-AP), or CD133 (1:200; cat no. 18470-1-AP; all from Proteintech Group, Inc.). While CD86 is expressed on various antigen-presenting cells, including dendritic cells, its expression on TAMs has been well documented in CRC and serves as a valuable marker for assessing antitumor immune responses within the TME (23). The current analysis specifically focused on CD86+ cells within the tumor stroma and their correlation with clinical outcomes. The next day, slides were washed three times with phosphate-buffered saline and then treated with a biotin-labeled secondary antibody (cat. no. BA1003; Boster Biological Technology) for 30 min at room temperature, followed by treatment with streptavidin-biotin complex. Slides were then washed and stained with 3,3 -diaminobenzidine (cat. no. AR1022; Bausch Biotechnology, Inc.), counterstained with hematoxylin, dehydrated, and sealed with neutral resin. Immunostaining for CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 was quantified after digital scanning under consistent lighting conditions. IHC staining for all markers was quantified using Image-Pro Plus 6.0 software (Media Cybernetics, Inc.). The staining intensity was graded on a 0-3 scale by two independent pathologists, and a final immunoreactivity score (range 0-300) was calculated for each sample by multiplying the intensity score by the percentage of positive cells (0-100%).
All statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS 21.0 (IBM Corp.). Optimal cut-off values for CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 IHC scores were determined using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, with OS as the endpoint. Cut-off points were selected based on the maximum Youden Index (sensitivity + specificity-1). The area under the curve (AUC) values were as follows: CD86: 0.851, CD163: 0.769, CD44: 0.767, CD133: 0.786. Correlations between CD86, CD163, CD44, CD133 and clinicopathological parameters were analyzed using Pearson s chi-square test. Survival differences and prognostic factors were determined using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Correlations among CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 were assessed using Pearson s correlation coefficient with corresponding P-values. Variable selection for the multivariate Cox regression model was performed using a stepwise forward method. The Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) was employed to assess multicollinearity among all included variables, with all VIF values below 2, indicating no significant multicollinearity concerns. OS was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models restricted to variables with P<0.05 in the univariate analysis. Survival curves for the relevant factors were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. In all statistical analyses, P<0.05 was considered to indicate a statistically significant difference.
A total of 71 patients with CRC were included in the survival analysis cohort, with detailed clinicopathologic characteristics of patients with CRC after resection listed in Tables I and II. CD86 was selected as a representative marker of M1-like TAMs, and CD163 as a representative marker of M2-like phenotype. Combined detection of multiple markers can improve the accuracy of CSC identification. In CRC, the use of a marker panel, including CD133, CD44, CD166, ALDH1 and CD16, has been shown to reliably identify CSCs (24). To evaluate potential differences in the expression levels of CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 in CRC tissues, IHC staining was performed (Fig. 1). Using ROC analysis, optimal cut-off values for distinguishing high and low levels of these markers were determined in a cohort of 71 CRC samples (Fig. 2). The established thresholds were as follows: for CD86, high expression was defined as an IHC score >93.38, and low expression as <93.38; for CD163, high expression corresponded to an IHC score >16.13, and low expression to <16.13; for CD44, high expression was classified as >5.37, and low as <5.37; and for CD133, high expression was defined as >1.45, with low expression below this value. Based on these cut-off values, 61 patients (85.9%) were categorized as CD86-low and 10 (14.1%) as CD86-high. Among the cohort, 20 patients (28.2%) were designated as CD163-low and 51 (71.8%) as CD163-high. Likewise, 11 patients (15.5%) were categorized as CD44-low and 60 (84.5%) as CD44-high. 17 patients (23.9%) were classified as CD133-low and 54 (76.1%) as CD133-high.
Table IUnivariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis of disease-free survival for patients with colorectal cancer. |
Table IIUnivariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis of overall survival for patients with colorectal cancer. |
The expression of TAM-associated biomarkers CD86 and CD163, as well as the CSC-associated biomarkers CD44 and CD133, showed significant associations with a variety of clinicopathologic characteristics in CRC (Table III). Elevated CD86 expression was significantly correlated with smaller tumor size (P=0.025) and a lower incidence of distant metastasis (P=0.034). By contrast, patients with high CD163 expression had significantly larger tumors (P=0.027), more advanced T stage (P=0.006), higher TNM stage (P=0.015), and increased lymph node metastases (P=0.033). In addition, high CD44 expression was associated with deeper tumor invasion (T stage, P=0.032), more advanced TNM stage (P=0.044), and a higher frequency of lymph node metastasis (P=0.009). Similarly, high CD133 expression was significantly associated with larger tumor volume (P=0.035), advanced T-stage (P=0.004), later TNM stage (P=0.009), increased lymph node metastasis (P=0.041) and higher preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA; P=0.009) and CA19-9 levels (P=0.045).
Table IIIExpression of CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 protein and clinicopathological parameters in colorectal cancer tissues. |
Correlations between TAM- and CSC-associated proteins are presented in Table IV. CD86, a TAM biomarker, was negatively correlated with the CSC biomarkers CD44 (P=0.008, r=-0.286) and CD133 (P=0.016, r=-0.342). By contrast, CD163, a TAMs biomarker, exhibited a positive correlation with the CSC biomarkers CD44 (P<0.001, r=0.549) and CD133 (P<0.001, r=0.529).
The mean and median DFS of the 71 patients were 43.81±4.87 and 38.00±3.14 months, respectively (Fig. 3A). Mean and median OS were 47.56±4.76 and 44.00±2.97 months, respectively (Fig. 4A). To investigate the prognostic impact of TAM- and CSC-associated markers, DFS and OS were compared among patients stratified by the expression levels of CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that high CD86 expression was significantly associated with prolonged DFS and OS (P<0.001) (Figs. 3B and 4B), whereas patients with high CD163 expression had shorter DFS and OS (P<0.001) (Figs. 3C and 4C). Similarly, elevated CD44 expression was significantly linked to decreased DFS and OS (P<0.001) (Figs. 3D and 4D), and high CD133 expression was significantly associated with shorter DFS and OS (P<0.001) (Figs. 3E and 4E).
Kaplan-Meier survival analyses of DFS and OS were performed according to tumor size, T stage, TNM stage, lymph node status, M stage, preoperative CEA and CA19-9 levels, as well as the expression of CD86, CD163, CD44 and CD133 (Figs. S1 and S2). The results showed that DFS was significantly associated with tumor size (P=0.003), T stage (P<0.001), TNM stage (P<0.001), lymph node metastasis (P<0.001), distant metastasis (P=0.016), preoperative CEA level (P=0.036), preoperative CA19-9 level (P<0.001), and the expression of CD86 (P<0.001), CD163 (P<0.001), CD44 (P<0.001) and CD133 (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified that CD163 expression (P<0.001), CD133 expression (P<0.001), T stage (P=0.006), and preoperative CA19-9 level (P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors significantly associated with DFS (Table I). Similarly, OS was significantly associated with tumor size (P=0.002), T stage (P<0.001), TNM stage (P<0.001), lymph node metastasis (P<0.001), distant metastasis (P=0.023), preoperative CEA level (P=0.043), preoperative CA19-9 level (P<0.001), CD86 expression (P<0.001), CD163 expression (P<0.001), CD44 expression (P<0.001) and CD133 expression (P<0.001). For these factors included in the multivariate Cox analysis, CD163 expression (P<0.001), CD133 expression (P<0.001), T stage (P=0.003) and preoperative CA19-9 level (P<0.001) were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS (Table II).
Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified CD163 and CD133 expression as independent prognostic factors for DFS and OS (Tables I and II). The combined impact of CD163 and CD133 expression on patient prognosis was therefore evaluated (Fig. 5). Patients with concurrent high expression of both markers exhibited significantly shorter DFS and OS (P<0.001; Fig. 5), indicating that this combination serves as a robust predictor of unfavorable prognosis in CRC.
CRC ranks as the third most commonly diagnosed gastrointestinal malignancy worldwide (25). Current treatments for CRC include surgical resection, chemotherapy, radiotherapy and immunomodulatory approaches (26). Despite these interventions, nearly 40% of patients develop disease recurrence or distant metastasis, solidifying CRC s status as the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality (27). TNM staging, while a major prognostic factor, has limitations in accurately predicting CRC patient prognosis (26). Therefore, it was aimed to identify biomarkers with a stronger prognostic correlation with CRC. Given that the combined detection of multiple markers can improve the specificity of CSC and TAM identification, the joint expression of CSC and TAM biomarkers was evaluated to determine a panel with improved prognostic correlation, thereby providing a potential basis for more precise clinical diagnosis and therapeutic decision-making.
CSCs regulate the TME by recruiting immune cells via paracrine signaling. For instance, glioma stem cells promote tumor progression by secreting periostin, recruiting TAMs, and constructing the TME (28). In addition, CSCs secrete cytokines, such as TGF-β, IL-10, IL-4 and IL-13 into the TME, which exert an inhibitory effect on multiple immune cells (29) and thereby promote tumor progression. Reciprocally, TAMs regulate CSC stemness and maintain self-renewal capacity through secretion of cytokines, chemokines, and participation in complex signaling networks. Key pathways mediating this bidirectional crosstalk include the IL-6/STAT3 axis, wherein TAM-derived IL-6 activates STAT3 signaling in CSCs to promote self-renewal and stemness maintenance (30). Additionally, TGF-β signaling plays a pivotal role in mediating the bidirectional communication between TAMs and CSCs. TAM-secreted TGF-β not only enhances CSC stemness but also induces epithelial-mesenchymal transition, further contributing to tumor progression and metastasis (31). Other important pathways, such as NF-κB, can be activated by TAM-derived IL-1 and TNF-α, creating an inflammatory niche that further supports CSC persistence (32).
The biological significance of these cytokine-mediated interactions lies in their ability to establish a sustainable niche that maintains CSC populations, drives tumor heterogeneity, and confers therapeutic resistance. For instance, in hepatocellular carcinoma, TAMs can induce STAT3 activation via IL-6, stimulating further cytokine release and forming a positive feedback loop that amplifies CSC self-renewal (33). Similarly, in breast cancer, TAMs have been reported to enhance the stemness characteristics of CSCs through Ephrin-EphA4 interactions, which in turn stimulate CSCs to produce inflammatory cytokines, including IL-1, IL-6 and IL-8(34).
In summary, a bidirectional communication exists between CSCs and TAMs. To investigate this relationship, the protein expression of TAM and CSC biomarkers in CRC tumor tissues was detected by IHC. It was found that high expression of CD163, CD44 and CD133 was associated with poor prognosis, while high CD86 expression was correlated with favorable prognosis. Indeed, the prognostic role of CD86+ TAMs in CRC is complex and context-dependent. Certain studies suggested that CD86 is associated with improved survival, and patients with high CD86 gene expression have higher OS rates than those with low CD86 expression. This indicates that low expression of this marker is linked to tumor progression and aggressiveness (35), which is in line with the present findings. While certain studies report CD86 as a general M1 marker associated with antitumor effects, the present data suggest its prognostic significance may be context-dependent (36,37). Discrepancies with previous studies could stem from heterogeneity in TMEs, differences in antibody clones, or variations in cohort demographics. By contrast, CD163+ TAMs are known to drive tumor progression by suppressing antitumor immunity, enhancing angiogenesis, and promoting metastasis. The association between CD163+ M2-like TAMs and poor prognosis has been more consistently reported across various cancer types, including CRC (38,39). Therefore, Certain studies suggested that combined analysis of CD86+ TAMs and CD163+ TAMs appears to be more suitable for determining relapse and mortality rates (40,41). In addition, the correlations between TAM and CSC markers, clinicopathologic parameters and patient prognosis were investigated. CD86 expression was markedly correlated with tumor size and distant metastasis, whereas CD163 expression was significantly correlated with tumor size and T-stage. Additionally, CD44 and CD133 expression were strongly linked to TNM staging and lymph node metastasis, respectively. Moreover, both CD163 and CD133 were identified as independent prognostic factors in CRC. The present analysis revealed significant prognostic value for both CD86 (M1-like) and CD133, as well as a negative correlation between them. While the combination of CD86 and CD133 is of interest, the present study was strategically designed to investigate the synergistic pro-tumorigenic interaction between TAMs and CSCs. In this context, the concurrent high expression of CD163 (M2-like TAMs) and CD133 represents a functionally coherent and biologically synergistic unit that collectively fosters an immunosuppressive and pro-stemness TME, leading to the most aggressive disease phenotype. This is substantiated by the present multivariate Cox regression analysis, which identified both CD163 and CD133 as the most robust and independent prognostic factors (P<0.001 for both DFS and OS). Therefore, prioritizing the CD163+/CD133+ profile was a deliberate strategy to most directly test our core hypothesis and to establish a clinically actionable biomarker for identifying the highest-risk patient subgroup.
The present analysis revealed significant prognostic value for both CD86 and CD133, as well as a negative correlation between them. While the combination of CD86 and CD133 is of interest, the present study was strategically designed to investigate the synergistic pro-tumorigenic interaction between TAMs and CSCs. In this context, the concurrent high expression of CD163 and CD133 represents a functionally coherent and biologically synergistic unit that collectively fosters an immunosuppressive and pro-stemness TME, leading to the most aggressive disease phenotype. This is substantiated by our multivariate Cox regression analysis, which identified both CD163 and CD133 as the most robust and independent prognostic factors (P<0.001 for both DFS and OS). Therefore, prioritizing the CD163+/CD133+ profile was a deliberate strategy to most directly test our core hypothesis and to establish a clinically actionable biomarker for identifying the highest-risk patient subgroup.
Current studies of TAMs and CSCs in CRC remain relatively limited, typically focusing either on the prognostic significance of different TAM subtypes or on the relationship between CSC expression and CRC occurrence and progression (42,43). By contrast, the present study combines the assessment of TAM and CSC biomarkers, specifically CD163 and CD133, providing a more robust prognostic tool than evaluating either marker alone in CRC. This integrative approach distinguishes the current study from prior works that primarily focused on single-marker systems. By assessing TAMs in conjunction with CSCs, the roles of different subtypes of TAMs and CSCs in CRC were more comprehensively and accurately explored. Both univariate and multivariate analyses identified CD163+ TAMs and CD133+ CSCs as independent prognostic factors for DFS and OS. The prognostic significance of their combined expression was therefore further examined, finding that concurrent high levels of CD163 and CD133 were strongly associated with shorter DFS and OS, indicating poor prognosis. These results suggested that the TAM-CSC functional unit, rather than either component in isolation, represents a key determinant of tumor aggressiveness in CRC.
In conclusion, the novel contribution of our research lies in establishing and validating a combined CD163/CD133 biomarker profile that captures the synergistic interaction between pro-tumorigenic TAMs and stem-like cancer cells. While TNM staging provides an anatomical framework, the CD163+/CD133+ profile directly reflects the pro-tumorigenic and treatment-resistant potential of the TME. This dual-marker panel identifies a high-risk patient subgroup with significantly shorter DFS and OS, thereby significantly improving the accuracy of prognostic predictions in patients with CRC. These findings carry important clinical implications for developing more effective prognostic assessment tools and personalized treatment strategies. Future research should focus on validating these biomarkers in larger, multicenter cohorts and exploring targeted therapies that disrupt the TAM-CSC interaction axis to improve patient outcomes. Furthermore, this approach holds promise for predicting responses to both conventional chemotherapy and emerging immunotherapies, potentially guiding more effective, personalized treatment strategies.
Not applicable.
Funding: The present study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 81803780), the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu (grant no. BK20180928) and the Science and Technology Tackling Project of Henan (grant no. 232102310131).
The data generated in the present study may be requested from the corresponding author.
YK supervised the study and wrote the original draft. YunW proposed the research concept and designed the research plan. BH managed the planning and execution of the research activities. YuqW collected and interpretated data. RY developed methodology and validated data. HT and FG conducted investigation and data validation, and prepared figures and tables. YK and YunW confirm the authenticity of all the raw data. All authors wrote, reviewed and edited the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript.
The present study was approved by the Institutional Review Board and Human Ethics Committee of Luoyang Central Hospital Affiliated with Zhengzhou University (approval no. LWLL-2018-03-07-01; Luoyang, China). All participants or their legal guardians signed an informed consent form.
Not applicable.
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
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