Survival of untreated advanced colorectal cancer patients

Introduction

Colorectal cancer is a common malignancy that is surgically treated. Radiotherapy has been successfully applied in rectal cancer as adjuvant therapy and in the treatment of residual disease. Chemotherapy based on 5-fluorouracil was previously administered, but without any noteworthy effects (1–3). Chemotherapy was rendered a viable treatment modality when leucovorin was introduced into clinical practice as a 5-fluorouracil modulator (4,5). Prior to this introduction, patients with advanced colorectal cancer remained untreated, since chemotherapy alone was ineffective. New drugs were only used in protocol trials. Irinotecan was regarded as a new drug that was reported to be effective in colorectal cancer when combined with leucovorin and 5-fluorouracil (6–9). During the last decade, the cisplatin analogue oxaliplatin was introduced into clinical practice, mainly for the treatment of advanced stages of the disease, and was combined with leucovorin and 5-fluorouracil or with irinotecan. The results were positive with respect to the response rate, median and overall survival. (10–16). Currently, no new cytotoxic agent has been produced for the treatment of colorectal cancer with the exception of oral capecitabine, which has been used as a substitute for leucovorin and 5-fluorouracil.

The present study involved a retrospective evaluation of 40 patients with advanced metastatic colorectal cancer in order to assess the median and overall survival of patients. Concurrently, a description was provided of the biological characteristics of this slow-growing disease as well as the quality of life of the patients as determined by their performance status (PS) .

Materials and methods

Patients

The untreated patients were randomly recruited between 1993 and 1996. Patients were untreated for the reasons that they refused to undergo cytotoxic therapy or the disease remained stable and the patients were asymptomatic. Certain patients required supportive treatment, such as antibiotics in case of infection, or blood transfusion for anemia.

Eligibility criteria

A patient histological diagnosis of colorectal cancer and advanced metastatic disease were confirmed by radiological examinations. None of the patients had under-gone prior chemotherapy, although 2 (5%) of the patients had received adjuvant treatment prior to the appearance of metastatic disease. Physical examination, X-rays, ultra-sound or computed tomography (CT) were performed prior to disease management. Eligibility criteria included stage IV disease, performance status of 0–2, (World Health Organization), an expected survival of ≥12 weeks and that patients be ≥18 years old. Laboratory examinations were performed to evaluate disease progression. Patients were required to have adequate bone marrow reserves (leukocyte count ≥3500/μl, platelet count ≥100,000/μl and hemoglobin ≥10 g/dl) and adequate renal function (serum creatinine ≤1.5 mg/dl and serum transaminases ≤3 times the upper limit of normal). Patients exhibiting central nervous system involvement or secondary malignancy were excluded from the study. This study was conducted with the approval of the institutional review board. Written informed consent was obtained from the patients included in this study.

Following the baseline tests, patients were followed up via a clinico-laboratory evaluation that included a physical examination, ECG, full blood count, liver and renal function tests, and urine analysis. Radiological tests were performed where disease progression was indicated by clinical signs, otherwise the tests were performed every six months.

Results

Patients

A total of 40 patients with histologically confirmed adenocarcinomas of moderate differentiation were included and evaluated. Table I shows the patient characteristics at baseline.

Table I Patient characteristics.

Table I

Patient characteristics.

	No.	%
Patients evaluated	40	100.0
Median age (years) (range)	67 (32–87)
Gender
Male	25	62.5
Female	15	37.5
Disease stage
IV	40	100.0
PS
0–1	33	82.5
2	7	17.5
Histology adenocarcinoma
Moderate differentiation	40	100.0
Site of metastasis
Liver	18	45.0
Lung	3	7.5
Abdomen	10	25.0
Bone	1	2.5
Multiple	8	20.0

Only two patients were administered with adjuvant chemotherapy (leucovorin and 5-fluorouracil). This treatment had been administered between 1993 and 1996 when adjuvant chemotherapy with irinotecan or oxaliplatin was not yet available. All 40 patients had metastatic disease when the evaluation and follow-up were commenced. Systemic treatment was not administered to the majority of patients (29 patients, 72.5%). Of the remaining 11, 1 patient underwent 2 courses of chemotherapy, and 2 patients underwent liver surgery due to liver metastases. The 2 patients undergoing liver resection showed residual disease within 3 months after surgery and 1 patient showed liver recurrence, also within 3 months. Intra-arterial chemotherapy was administered once to 2 patients and chemo-embolization was administered to 2 further patients, also once. Radiotherapy was administered to 2 patients with temporary liver deposit reduction (Table II).

Table II Treatment.

Table II

Treatment.

Treatment	No.	%
Chemotherapy (2 cycles)	1	2.5
Liver surgery	3	7.5
Radiotherapy, skeleton	1	2.5
Radiofrequency	2	5.0
Intra-arterial	2	5.0
Chemo-embolization	2	5.0
Total	11	27.5

Survival

The median survival for the 40 patients was 24 months (range 5–42). A total of 26 patients (65%) survived for one year. After 2 years, 10 patients had survived (25%; Table III). The quality of life of these 10 patients was satisfactory based on the PS, which remained at 0–1.

Table III Survival in months.

Table III

Survival in months.

Median survival	24 (95% CI, 16–42)
Range	5–42
One-year	26 patients (65.0%)
2-year	10 patients (25.0%)
Alive at the end of the study	21 patients (52.5%)

Statistical analysis

The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival distribution estimation (Fig. 1).

Figure 1 Kaplan-Meier survival curve in months.

Discussion

Colorectal cancer is a slow-growing malignancy. In the majority of patients, the result of chemotherapy in advanced metastatic disease is stabilization (17). According to the RECIST criteria, stable disease is defined as a tumor reduction of less than 30% and tumor progression of less than 20% (18). Where evaluation by CT after treatment showed stable disease, the result may be attributed to either: i) the effect of chemotherapy, which inhibited disease progression, or ii) the biological characteristics of the tumor, which define how rapidly it develops. It is difficult to verify which interpretation applies in routine clinical practice. Relevant data are required to determine whether chemotherapy plays a significant role in regulating disease progression. One example of how data may be gathered involves a comparison of treated versus non-treated patients in a randomized trial. A study by Cunningham et al, which compared chemotherapy with irinotecan plus supportive care versus supportive care alone, showed that overall survival was significantly higher in the irinotecan group (p=0.001) (18). Results by these authors showed that one-year survival for the irinotecan group was 36.2% compared with 13.8% for the supportive care group. These percentages of one-year survival for each group are lower than those obtained in our study. The reason for this discrepancy is that the previous study included the time period after the administration of second-line treatment (18). On the other hand, the results of the study by Cunningham et al (18) indicate the advantage of chemotherapy in colorectal cancer. The aim of our study was to contribute to a better understanding of the biology of colorectal cancer. Our findings indicate that this is a slow-growing disease with a 65% survival rate after 1 year, and a 25% survival rate after 2 years (10/40 patients). Local treatment administered to 11/40 patients (27.5%) contributed little to overall survival.

The long-term survival of patients with metastatic advanced colorectal cancer without systemic treatment may be due to the biological characteristics of this tumor, indicating that it is a slow-growing malignancy. These findings are useful in obviating long-term or unstoppable chemotherapy when patients are in stable disease.

References