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Prediction of solitary ≤3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on 18F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer

  • Authors:
    • Lin Zhao
    • Haifeng Cai
    • Jingwu Li
    • Wenzhe Zhao
    • Yongliang Liu
    • Lixiu Cao
  • View Affiliations / Copyright

    Affiliations: Department of Computed Tomography, Tangshan People's Hospital, Tangshan, Hebei 063000, P.R. China, Department of Breast Surgery, Tangshan People's Hospital, Tangshan, Hebei 063000, P.R. China, Hebei Key Laboratory of Molecular Oncology, Tangshan People's Hospital, Tangshan, Hebei 063000, P.R. China, Department of Neurosurgery, Tangshan People's Hospital, Tangshan, Hebei 063000, P.R. China
    Copyright: © Zhao et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of Creative Commons Attribution License.
  • Article Number: 42
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    Published online on: November 24, 2025
       https://doi.org/10.3892/ol.2025.15395
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Abstract

The purpose of the present study was to develop a simplified scoring system based on the support vector machine (SVM) classification method to improve the diagnostic performance of 18F‑fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) in differentiating solitary small (≤3 cm) adrenal metastases from benign lesions in patients with lung cancer. A total of 197 patients with histopathologically confirmed diagnoses of lung cancer were retrospectively included. All patients had solitary adrenal lesions (long diameter ≤3 cm) showing hyperattenuating features (unenhanced CT values ≥10 HU) on pre‑treatment 18F‑FDG PET/CT scans. The cohort included 128 cases of metastases and 69 cases of benign lesions. SVM models were developed using five adrenal lesion features and one primary lung cancer feature. Model performance was evaluated by comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and accuracy across eight candidate models. The optimal model was further simplified based on feature weights and value distributions to enhance clinical applicability. The best‑performing SVM model demonstrated maximum, minimum and mean accuracies of 98.0% (95% CI, 93.9‑100%), 71.4% (95% CI, 57.1‑83.7%) and 84.3% (95% CI, 69.4‑91.8%), respectively, with corresponding AUC values of 1.000, 0.770 and 0.913, respectively. The simplified scoring system stratified adrenal lesions into three diagnostic categories: Scores <5, benign; scores >6.5, metastatic; and scores 5‑6.5, suspicious for metastasis. In conclusion, the present study developed an SVM‑based model using 18F‑FDG PET/CT imaging features to differentiate solitary small adrenal metastases in patients with lung cancer. The maximum standardized uptake value of the adrenal lesions was the predominant predictive feature. After simplification, the model was converted into a clinically practical scoring system, which may assist clinicians in streamlining clinical staging decisions for patients with lung cancer.
View Figures

Figure 1

Flowchart illustrating the patient
selection process, along with the criteria for inclusion and
exclusion. FDG, fluorodeoxyglucose; PET/CT, positron emission
tomography/computed tomography.

Figure 2

Comparison of different models. (A)
Model 1 exhibited the second highest values for mean accuracy. (B)
Model 1 exhibited the highest values for mean AUC. (C) For min
accuracy, models 1 and 3 were tied for the highest values. (D)
Model 1 exhibited the highest values for min AUC. (E) For max
accuracy, models 1 and 2 were tied for the highest values. (F)
Model 1 exhibited the highest values for max AUC. AUC, area under
the receiver operating characteristic curve; Max, maximum; Min,
minimum.

Figure 3

Permutation tests for the SVM results
of model 1 with the highest and lowest accuracy. (A) Permutation
test for the SVM result of model 1 with the highest accuracy
(98.0%; P<0.001). (B) Permutation test for the SVM result of
model 1 with the lowest accuracy (71.4%; P=0.004). Both of the true
classification accuracies of model 1 with highest and lowest
accuracy (red bar) were significantly higher than those after
random sampling, grouping and shuffling of labels (blue bar). SVM,
support vector machine.

Figure 4

Distribution and comparison of AUC
and accuracy of the SVM, random forest and KNN. (A) The AUC of the
SVM was significantly higher than those of the random forest and
KNN methods (both P<0.001). (B) The accuracy of the SVM was also
significantly higher than those of the random forest and KNN
methods (both P<0.001). AUC, area under the receiver operating
characteristic curve; KNN, k-nearest neighbor; SVM, support vector
machine.

Figure 5

Figure 6

Distribution of
SUVmax(adrenal), SUVmax(lung), LD and CT
values. (A) SUVmax(adrenal) was separated into <3,
3–5 and ≥5 g/m. (B) SUVmax(lung) was separated into
<7.5, 7.5–10 and ≥10 g/m. (C) LD was separated into <1.35,
1.35–1.75 and ≥1.75 cm. (D) CT value was separated into <30 HU,
30–35 HU and ≥35 HU. SUVmax, maximum standardized uptake
value; LD, long diameter; CT, computed tomography.

Figure 7

Score distribution of adrenal benign
and metastatic lesions. The red dashed lines represented the
thresholds of score. The difference of scores between benign and
metastatic lesions was more apparent after being simplified.
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Copy and paste a formatted citation
Spandidos Publications style
Zhao L, Cai H, Li J, Zhao W, Liu Y and Cao L: Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer. Oncol Lett 31: 42, 2026.
APA
Zhao, L., Cai, H., Li, J., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., & Cao, L. (2026). Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer. Oncology Letters, 31, 42. https://doi.org/10.3892/ol.2025.15395
MLA
Zhao, L., Cai, H., Li, J., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., Cao, L."Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer". Oncology Letters 31.1 (2026): 42.
Chicago
Zhao, L., Cai, H., Li, J., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., Cao, L."Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer". Oncology Letters 31, no. 1 (2026): 42. https://doi.org/10.3892/ol.2025.15395
Copy and paste a formatted citation
x
Spandidos Publications style
Zhao L, Cai H, Li J, Zhao W, Liu Y and Cao L: Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer. Oncol Lett 31: 42, 2026.
APA
Zhao, L., Cai, H., Li, J., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., & Cao, L. (2026). Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer. Oncology Letters, 31, 42. https://doi.org/10.3892/ol.2025.15395
MLA
Zhao, L., Cai, H., Li, J., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., Cao, L."Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer". Oncology Letters 31.1 (2026): 42.
Chicago
Zhao, L., Cai, H., Li, J., Zhao, W., Liu, Y., Cao, L."Prediction of solitary &le;3‑cm small adrenal metastasis based on <sup>18</sup>F‑FDG PET/CT using a support vector machine model in lung cancer". Oncology Letters 31, no. 1 (2026): 42. https://doi.org/10.3892/ol.2025.15395
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