D-dimer level for predicting the in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis: A retrospective study

  • Authors:
    • Yun Li
    • Xingshun Qi
    • Hongyu Li
    • Junna Dai
    • Han Deng
    • Jing Li
    • Ying Peng
    • Xu Liu
    • Xiaolin Sun
    • Xiaozhong Guo
  • View Affiliations

  • Published online on: November 28, 2016     https://doi.org/10.3892/etm.2016.3930
  • Pages: 285-289
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Abstract

The present study aimed to examine the correlation of D-dimer levels with the Child-Pugh and MELD scores, as well as to determine the predictive ability of D-dimer level for the in-hospital mortality of liver cirrhosis patients. All cirrhotic patients who were consecutively admitted to our hospital between January 2011 and June 2014, and underwent D‑dimer tests on admission were retrospectively analyzed. Pearson's χ2 tests were employed to evaluate the correlations of D‑dimer levels with Child‑Pugh and MELD scores. In addition, receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was employed to evaluate the specificity and sensitivity of D‑dimer levels for predicting the in‑hospital mortality. In total, 703 cirrhotic patients were included in the study, with an in‑hospital mortality of 5.4% (38/703). The D‑dimer levels were correlated with Child-Pugh (correlation coefficient, 0.219; P<0.001) and MELD scores (correlation coefficient, 0.207; P<0.001). The highest D‑dimer level was observed in the Child‑Pugh class C patients, followed by the class B and A patients. Furthermore, D‑dimer was significantly higher in the MELD score >15 group compared with the MELD score <15 group. The area under the ROC of D‑dimer levels for predicting the in‑hospital mortality of liver cirrhosis was 0.729 (P<0.0001), while the best cut‑off D‑dimer value was 0.28 µg/ml with a sensitivity of 86.84% and a specificity of 49.17%. In conclusion, the D-dimer level is significantly associated with the degree of liver dysfunction. Therefore, D-dimer testing could be employed for the prognostic stratification of liver cirrhosis.

Introduction

D-dimer is a fibrin degradation product that is observed in the blood following clot degeneration. Currently, tests determining the concentration of D-dimer in the blood are widely employed in various clinical practices. Determination of D-dimer levels in combination with clinical probability assessment can be used to safely rule-out the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (13). In addition, D-dimer levels are used for predicting the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism and determining the duration of anticoagulation therapy in these patients (46).

The levels of D-dimer in the blood are significantly increased in patients with liver cirrhosis, and are gradually elevated further as the degree of liver dysfunction increases in severity (7,8). It has been also suggested that D-dimer levels are influenced by the presence and treatment of ascites (9). Furthermore, the levels of this protein are significantly higher in cirrhotic patients with ascites compared with those without ascites, and are significantly decreased subsequently to ascite resolution (9). More recently, a meta-analysis performed by our group indicated that D-dimer levels are significantly associated with the presence of portal vein thrombosis in liver cirrhosis and may predict the development of portal vein thrombosis following splenectomy (10). Therefore, D-dimer may be a prognostic factor negatively associated with outcomes of liver cirrhosis.

In the present study, the correlation of D-dimer levels with the Child-Pugh and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores was retrospectively analyzed, and determined the predictive ability of D-dimer levels for the in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis.

Subjects and methods

Study design

Patients consecutively admitted to the General Hospital of Shenyang Military Area (Shenyang, China) between January 2011 and June 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. The inclusion criteria were as follows: i) Patients were diagnosed with liver cirrhosis (based on clinical presentations, routine laboratory tests and imaging, and biopsy if necessary); and ii) D-dimer level was tested. The exclusion criteria were as follows: i) Patients were diagnosed with malignant tumors; ii) patients were diagnosed with venous or arterial thrombosis; iii) Child-Pugh and MELD scores on admissions could not be calculated; and iv) the survival during their hospitalizations could not be evaluated. Repeated admissions were not excluded for patients meeting the aforementioned criteria. Certain of these patients have also been included in our previous studies (1114). The present study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the General Hospital of Shenyang Military Area. Due to the retrospective nature of this study, the patients' written informed consents were waived.

Data collection

The following data were collected from the electronic medical records of the patients: Age, gender, etiology of liver diseases, presence of ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, red blood cell (RBC) count, hemoglobin (Hb) level, white blood cell (WBC) count, platelet level, total bilirubin (TBIL), albumin (ALB), alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatate (ALP), γ-glutamine transferase (GGT), creatinine (Cr), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), international normalized ratio (INR), D-dimer levels, Child-Pugh (15) and MELD scores (16), and in-hospital mortality. In cases where the D-dimer level was measured two or more times, the maximum D-dimer value was selected for use in the current analysis.

Statistical analysis

Continuous data are presented as the mean ± standard deviation, and were compared using the independent sample t test or one-way analysis of variance. Categorical data are expressed as frequencies (i.e., rates of patients) and were compared using the χ2 test. The correlation of D-dimer levels with the Child-Pugh or MELD scores was evaluated by Pearson's χ2 test. Boxplots were also constructed to demonstrate the difference in the D-dimer levels among the various Child-Pugh classes (namely A-C) and MELD (namely scores >15 or <15). Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was employed to evaluate the specificity and sensitivity of D-dimer for predicting the in-hospital mortality. The optimal cut-off value was defined as the value at which the specificity plus sensitivity was maximal. In addition, the area under the ROC (AUROC) and the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also calculated. A two-sided P-value of <0.05 was considered to indicate a statistically significant difference. All statistical analyses were performed using the MedCalc statistical software, version 15.10 (MedCalc Software bvba, Ostend, Belgium).

Results

Patients

During the enrollment period, a total of 703 patients were found to be eligible for inclusion in the current study. Patient characteristics are shown in Table I. The majority of patients enrolled into the present study were male (483/703 patients; 68.70%). The most common etiology of liver cirrhosis was infection with hepatitis B/C virus and/or alcohol consumption (500/703 patients; 71.12%). In addition, the mean D-dimer level was 0.80±1.48 µg/ml (reference range, 0–0.3 µg/ml). The mean MELD score was 8.63±8.14. The mean Child-Pugh score was 7.66±2.20. In-hospital mortality was found to be 5.4% (38/703 patients). The major causes of mortality included the following: Gastrointestinal bleeding (n=13), progressive liver failure (n=10), refractory hepatic encephalopathy (n=6), multiple organ failure (n=4), severe infection (n=3), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatic encephalopathy (n=1) and pulmonary embolism (n=1).

Table I.

Patient characteristics (n=703).

Table I.

Patient characteristics (n=703).

VariablesValuesReference range
Mean age, years   56.42±11.08
Gender, n
  Male483 (68.7%)
Female220 (31.3%)
Etiology of liver cirrhosis, n
  Viral hepatitis alone266 (37.8%)
  Alcohol alone183 (26.3%)
  Viral hepatitis + alcohol51 (7.3%)
  Other or unknown203 (28.9%)
Ascites, n
  Absence381 (54.2%)
  Presence322 (45.8%)
Hepatic encephalopathy, n
Absence656 (93.3%)
Presence47 (6.7%)
Red blood cell count, 1012/l3.03±0.854.3–5.8
Hemoglobin level, g/l91.76±29.19130–175
White blood cell count, 109/l5.71±4.843.5–9.5
Platelet level, 109/l93.61±70.94135–350
Total bilirubin, µmol/l44.87±74.155.1–22.2
Albumin, g/l31.48±7.1140–55
Alanine transaminase, U/l42.69±14.859–50
Aspartate aminotransferase, U/l76.94±468.4815–40
Alkaline phosphatase, U/l109.79±97.67   45–125
γ-glutamyl transferase, U/l102.76±167.2110–60
Creatinine, µmol/l87.31±103.3244–133
Prothrombin time, sec17.36±6.3511.5–14.5
Activated partial prothrombin time, sec44.59±13.5528–40
International normalized ratio1.53±1.91
D-dimer, µg/ml0.80±1.480–0.3
Child-Pugh scorea7.66±2.20
MELD score8.63±8.14
  >15570
  ≤15133
In-hospital mortality, n
  No665 (94.6%)
  Yes38 (5.4%)

a The number of patients with Child-Pugh classes A, B and C were 249, 311 and 143, respectively. MELD, model for the end stage liver diseases.

D-dimer and Child-Pugh score

The correlation of D-dimer levels with the Child-Pugh score of the patients was investigated by Pearson's χ2 test. The level of D-dimer was positively correlated with Child-Pugh score (correlation coefficient, 0.219; P<0.001). As shown in Fig. 1, D-dimer level was the highest in Child-Pugh class C group, followed by the Child-Pugh class B and then Child-Pugh class A groups. Furthermore, significant differences were observed between the different groups (C vs. B, P=0.008; B vs. A, P=0.001).

D-dimer and MELD score

The correlation of D-dimer levels with the Child-Pugh score of the patients was investigated by Pearson's χ2 test. As shown in Fig. 2, D-dimer level was positively correlated with the MELD score (correlation coefficient, 0.207; P<0.001). In addition, D-dimer level was significantly higher in the MELD score >15 group compared with that in the MELD score <15 group (Fig. 2).

D-dimer and in-hospital mortality

The specificity and sensitivity of D-dimer levels for predicting the in-hospital mortality of liver cirrhosis patients were determined, and the AUROC was calculated. As shown in Fig. 3, the AUROC of D-dimer level for this prediction was 0.729 (95% CI, 0.695–0.762; P<0.0001). The best cut-off D-dimer value was 0.28 µg/ml, with a sensitivity of 86.84% and a specificity of 49.17%.

Discussion

The present study identified that the D-dimer level of liver cirrhosis patients was significantly correlated with the Child-Pugh and MELD scores. This finding was largely consistent with several previous studies. For instance, an Egyptian study by El-Sayed et al investigated the D-dimer levels in 67 patients with chronic liver diseases and 30 healthy controls (17). The study observed that cirrhotic patients with Child-Pugh class A and B had significantly higher D-dimer levels compared with the non-cirrhotic patients and healthy controls (class B, 147.32±114.16 ng/ml; class A, 115.3±138.4 ng/ml; non-cirrhotic liver disease, 28.86±40.03 ng/ml; healthy controls, 17.6±11.7 ng/ml). In addition, a Chinese study by Cong et al analyzed the D-dimer levels of 43 cirrhotic patients classified according to the Child-Pugh scores, as well as of 16 healthy controls (18). The D-dimer levels were demonstrated to gradually increase among Child-Pugh class A, B and C. In an Italian study, Violi et al also identified that the median D-dimer levels were 95.5, 113 and 1,453 ng/ml in patients with Child-Pugh class A, B and C, respectively (19). Furthermore, another Italian study by Primignani et al enrolled 43 cirrhotic patients with esophageal variceal bleeding and 43 cirrhotic patients without bleeding (20). In the patients with bleeding, the mean D-dimer levels were 127.38±2.13, 155.89±3.29 and 432.3±2.9 ng/ml for Child-Pugh class A, B and C, respectively. By contrast, in the patients without bleeding, the mean D-dimer levels were 25.6±2.4, 97.58±3.38 and 246.36±2.65 ng/ml for Child-Pugh class A, B and C, respectively. Additionally, the mean D-dimer levels were significantly higher patients with bleeding that had a MELD score >17 compared with those having a MELD score <17 (486.5±3.22 vs. 161.2±3.10, respectively; P=0.01) (20). However, the authors did not observe any significant association of D-dimer levels with MELD score in patients without bleeding (20). Collectively, the aforementioned studies supported the activation of fibrinolysis according to the severity of liver dysfunction. However, it must be acknowledged that the correlation between D-dimer and the degree of liver dysfunction was relatively weak in the present study (correlation coefficient, <0.3).

Another finding of the current study was that higher D-dimer levels were able to significantly predict the in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients. Therefore, D-dimer testing may be used for the prognostic stratification of liver cirrhosis. Similarly, Primignani et al also compared the association of D-dimer levels with the 6-week mortality rate of cirrhotic patients with esophageal variceal bleeding (20). They identified that the mean D-dimer level was 172.9±2.70 and 525.6±3.29 ng/ml in survivors and non-survivors, respectively. The proportion of hyperfibrinolysis, defined as a D-dimer level of >483 ng/ml, was 11 and 67% in survivors and non-survivors, respectively. In addition, the odds ratio of D-dimer level for predicting the 6-week mortality was 16 (20). These findings further supported the prognostic value of D-dimer levels in cirrhotic patients. By comparison, the current study further identified the accurate cut-off value in a more generalized population (with and without bleeding). However, considering that the AUROC was 0.729 in the present study, the prognostic value of D-dimer levels may be moderate.

A major limitation of the current study was its retrospective nature, which results in potential patient selection bias. However, considering that a relatively large number of patients were included in the study, the bias was weak.

In conclusion, the D-dimer levels of liver cirrhosis patients were found to be significantly associated with the degree of liver dysfunction. Furthermore, higher D-dimer levels predicted an increased risk of in-hospital mortality as a result of liver cirrhosis. Further prospective cohort studies are thus warranted to confirm the present findings.

Acknowledgements

This study was partially supported by a grant from the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province (grant no. 2014020059) for Dr Hongyu Li.

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Spandidos Publications style
Li Y, Qi X, Li H, Dai J, Deng H, Li J, Peng Y, Liu X, Sun X, Guo X, Guo X, et al: D-dimer level for predicting the in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis: A retrospective study. Exp Ther Med 13: 285-289, 2017
APA
Li, Y., Qi, X., Li, H., Dai, J., Deng, H., Li, J. ... Guo, X. (2017). D-dimer level for predicting the in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis: A retrospective study. Experimental and Therapeutic Medicine, 13, 285-289. https://doi.org/10.3892/etm.2016.3930
MLA
Li, Y., Qi, X., Li, H., Dai, J., Deng, H., Li, J., Peng, Y., Liu, X., Sun, X., Guo, X."D-dimer level for predicting the in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis: A retrospective study". Experimental and Therapeutic Medicine 13.1 (2017): 285-289.
Chicago
Li, Y., Qi, X., Li, H., Dai, J., Deng, H., Li, J., Peng, Y., Liu, X., Sun, X., Guo, X."D-dimer level for predicting the in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis: A retrospective study". Experimental and Therapeutic Medicine 13, no. 1 (2017): 285-289. https://doi.org/10.3892/etm.2016.3930