Pooled analysis of Swedish case-control studies during 1997‑2003 and 2007-2009 on meningioma risk associated with the use of mobile and cordless phones
- Michael Carlberg
- Lennart Hardell
- Published online on: April 27, 2015 https://doi.org/10.3892/or.2015.3930
- Pages: 3093-3098
Meningioma is most common among middle-aged and elderly individuals. The incidence is approximately 2-fold higher in women than in men (1,2). It accounts for approximately 30% of intracranial tumors (3) and develops from the pia and arachnoid membrane that cover the central nervous system. Meningioma is a benign, encapsulated, well-demarked and seldom malignant tumor. It is slow growing and presents with neurological symptoms by compression of adjacent structures. Headaches and seizures are common symptoms.
The only well-established risk factor is ionizing radiation with a long latency period (time from first exposure until diagnosis) encompassing decades (4,5). Sex hormones may be of importance due to the female predominance, yet the role is unclear and has been suggested not to fully explain the higher incidence in women (6).
During recent years, the use of wireless phones has been discussed as a risk factor for brain tumors. When used they emit radiofrequency electromagnetic fields (RF-EMFs).
The Nordic countries were among the first in the world to widely adopt this technology. Analogue phones (NMT; Nordic Mobile Telephone System) were introduced in the early 1980’s using both 450 and 900 megahertz (MHz) frequencies. NMT 450 was used in Sweden from 1981 but was shut down on December 31 in 2007; NMT 900 operated during 1986–2000.
The digital system (GSM; Global System for Mobile Communication) using dual band, 900 and 1,800 MHz, started to operate in 1991. The third generation of mobile phones, 3G or Universal Mobile Telecommunication System (UMTS), using 1,900/2,100 MHz RF fields has been introduced worldwide in recent years, and in Sweden in 2003 and currently dominates the market.
Desktop cordless phones (DECT) have been used in Sweden since 1988, first using analogue 800–900 MHz RF fields, but since the early 1990’s using a digital 1,900-MHz system. The cordless phones are becoming more common than traditional telephones connected to landlines. In addition, these phones emit RF-EMF radiation similar to that of mobile phones.
Since the use of this technology is widespread, even a small effect on health would be of concern for the general population. In order to evaluate the carcinogenic effect of RF-EMF on humans, a meeting took place on May 24–31 in 2011 at the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) at WHO in Lyon, France. RF-EMFs from mobile phones, and from other devices that emit similar non-ionizing electromagnetic fields in the frequency range from 30 kHz to 300 GHz, were categorized as group 2B, i.e., a ‘possible’, human carcinogen (7,8). The IARC decision on mobile phones was based mainly on results for glioma and acoustic neuroma in case-control studies from the Hardell group in Sweden (9–11) and the IARC Interphone study (12).
Regarding meningioma, the IARC Working Group found that the available evidence was insufficient to reach a conclusion on an association with mobile phone use (7). The only studies that provided results for a 10-year latency or more were those from the Hardell group (9,13) and the Interphone study group (12).
The results for meningioma as well as for other types of brain tumors are, to date, based on limited numbers of long-term users since the technology is fairly new with low numbers of long-term users. In Sweden, the major increase in use (minutes of outgoing calls) and exposure to radiation fields from these phones (not merely access or ownership) in the general population is most evident after 2003 (14).
In order to base the results on a larger material, we now pooled our results on meningioma during the years 1997–2003 and 2007–2009. The same methods were used for both time periods. The Ethics Committee approved the present study.
Materials and methods
Six administrative regions register new cancer cases covering the entire country of Sweden. Benign brain tumors are also reported to these registries. During 1997–2003, cases and controls in our studies covered central Sweden (9), whereas the 2007–2009 study included the entire country (15). Both men and women with histopathological verification of brain tumors were included in the studies. They were aged 20–80 years (1997–2003) and 18–75 years (2007–2009) at the time of diagnosis. Only living cases were enrolled after permission from the responsible physician. Tumor localization in the brain was based on reports to the cancer registries and medical records, which were obtained after informed consent from the patients.
Controls were ascertained from the Swedish Population Registry that covers the entire country and is continuously updated. A unique ID number can be used to trace each person. The registry also records the present address. For each case, one control subject of the same gender and in the same 5-year group was drawn at random from this registry. They were assigned the same year for cut-off of all exposure as the diagnosis of the respective case.
Exposure was assessed using a mailed questionnaire sent to each person. Regarding use of a mobile phone, the time of average use (min per day) was estimated. The type of mobile phone was recorded and checked by the prefix for the phone number; 010 for analogue and 07 for digital phones (2G, 3G).
Specific questions covered the extent of use in a car with an external antenna, and use of a hands-free device, both regarded as no exposure to RF-EMFs. The ear mostly used during phone calls, or if equally both ears, was also noted.
Use of cordless desktop phones was covered using similar questions; years, average daily use, use of a hands-free device, and preferred ear. Use of the wireless phone was referred to as ipsilateral (≥50% of the time) or contralateral (<50% of the time) in relation to tumor side. The same method was also applied for the control group; the subjects were assigned the same ‘tumor’ side as the respective case to the matched control.
The questionnaire also contained a number of questions relating to the overall working history, exposure to different chemicals and other agents, smoking habits, X-ray investigations of the head and neck, and heredity traits for cancer. These other exposure factors will be published separately for the entire study period. When questionnaire answers were unclear, they were resolved by phone using trained interviewers. Thereby, a written protocol was used for clarification of each question. The interviewer supplemented the entire questionnaire during the phone call. Each questionnaire received a unique ID-number that did not disclose whether it was a case or a control; i.e., the interviewer was unaware of the status during further data processing. All information was coded and entered into a database. Case or control status was not disclosed until statistical analyses were undertaken.
Stata/SE 12.1 (Stata/SE 12.1 for Windows; StataCorp., College Station, TX, USA) was used for all analyses. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using unconditional logistic regression including the whole control sample (i.e., matched to both malignant and benign cases) to increase the power of the study.
Latency (time from first use) was defined as the year of first use of a wireless phone to the year of diagnosis (the same years being used for the matched control). Cumulative number of hours of use was calculated multiplying the number of years by average time per year based on use per day. Use in a car with external antenna was disregarded, as was use of a hands-free device. a minimum latency period of ≤1 year of exposure was adopted; less than this time was included in the unexposed category. The same year as that for each case's diagnosis was used for the corresponding control as cut-off for exposure accumulation. Note that the latency time was counted from the first use of the specific telephone type or combination of phones; for instance, a mobile phone user may have previously used a cordless phone.
Adjustment was made for the matching variables gender, age (as a continuous variable) and year of diagnosis. It was also made for socio-economic index (SEI) divided into 4 categories (blue-collar and white-collar worker, self-employed and unemployed), since Preston-Martin and Mack previously reported an association between white-collar work and brain tumors (16). Latency was analyzed using 6 time periods; >1–5 years, >5–10 years, >10–15 years, >15–20 years, >20–25 years and >25 years.
Cumulative use of the different phone types and combinations was analyzed in quartiles based on the distribution of total use of wireless phones among the controls. Latency and cumulative use were also analyzed as continuous variables (per year of latency and per 100 h of cumulative use) to further explore dose-response relationships. Laterality was analyzed for all phone types separately but not for the whole group of wireless phone users, since the side could differ for mobile and cordless phone use by the same person.
In total, 2,349 cases with a benign tumor were included for the study periods 1997–2003 and 2007–2009. Of these subjects 2,068 (88%) participated. Most of these cases had a diagnosis of meningioma (n=1,625) (79%), and 431 were men and 1,194 women. The mean age was 57 years (median 57 and range 20–80).
Of the 4,038 controls, 3,530 (87%) participated (1,492 men and 2,038 women). The mean age was 54 years (median 55 and range 19–80).
Overall results and latency
The median latency time for use of mobile phones in the meningioma cases was 9.0 years (mean 9.4 and range 2–28). The corresponding results for cordless phones were a median of 8.0 years (mean 8.2 and range 2–21). Mean cumulative mobile phone use for the cases was 881 h (median 176 and range 1–33,215) and for controls 784 h (median 192 and range 1–19,756). Regarding cordless phone use, the mean cumulative time for cases was 1,309 h (median 487 and range 3–58,400) and for controls 861 h (median 365 and range 1–18,980).
The results are shown in Table I for meningioma and the use of wireless phones in the different latency groups. Analogue phones gave OR=1.2, 95% CI=0.9–1.5 and OR=1.4, 95% CI=0.7–2.9 in the longest latency group of >25 years.
Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for the meningioma cases (n=1,625) in regards to the use of mobile and cordless phones in the different latency groups.
Use of digital mobile phones (2G and/or 3G) gave overall OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.8–1.2 with a somewhat higher OR in the longest latency interval >15–20 years although not statistically significant.
Use of cordless phones produced OR=1.1, 95% CI=0.9–1.3 increasing to OR=1.3, 95% CI=0.5–3.5 in the longest latency group.
The group of total wireless phone use (mobile and/or cordless phone) gave similar results as for the mobile and cordless phones separately, without any statistically significant results. Regarding OR per additional year of latency, OR increased somewhat but the difference was not statistically significant (Table II).
Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for meningioma per 100 h of cumulative use and per year of latency.
Tumor localization and laterality
We also analyzed the risk for different anatomical localizations of meningioma. Use of wireless phones yielded for the temporal lobe (n=468) OR=1.1, 95% CI=0.8–1.4. With latency >25 years the OR increased to 1.4, 95% CI=0.5–4.0. No statistically significant increased or decreased OR was found in any latency group for any phone type (data not shown). The results were similar for meningioma in the frontal lobe (n=736) or other localizations (n=324) with no pattern of an association. Note that tumor localization was missing for some cases (n=60), and not given for midline tumors or multiple localizations (n=37).
Ipsilateral mobile phone use produced OR=1.2, 95% CI=0.9–1.5, whereas contralateral use gave OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.8–1.3 (Table III). Similar results were found for cordless phone use. We also analyzed laterality of mobile and cordless phone use in the different latency periods without any pattern of an association (data not shown).
Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for meningioma, total, ipsilateral and contralateral exposure.
As documented in Table IV, the cumulative use in quartiles is displayed. No statistically significant trend was found for mobile phones although somewhat increased risk was obtained for cumulative use in the fourth quartile >1,486 h with OR=1.2, 95% CI=0.9–1.6 (p-trend =0.19). Cordless phone use gave statistically significant increased risk in the fourth quartile to OR=1.7, 95% CI=1.3–2.2 (p-trend <0.0001). Total use of wireless phones >1,486 h gave OR=1.3, 95% CI=1.1–1.6 (p-trend =0.01). We also analyzed the >90th percentile corresponding to >3,358 h cumulative use. Mobile phones of the digital type (2G and 3G) gave a borderline increased risk with OR=1.5, 95% CI=1.0005–2.3 (p-trend =0.045) and cordless phone gave OR=2.0, 95% CI=1.4–2.8 (p-trend <0.0001; data not shown). The results for analogue mobile phones were based on only 6 exposed cases and 8 exposed controls yielding OR=2.1, 95% CI=0.7–6.3 (p-trend =0.65).
Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for meningioma (n=1,625) for cumulative use of wireless phones in quartiles based on the use of wireless phones among controls in total.
Somewhat increased risk was found for the different phone types per 100-h cumulative use (Table II). Mobile phone use in total gave OR=1.005, 95% CI=1.001–1.009 and cordless phone use OR=1.010, 95% CI=1.005–1.014.
We analyzed mobile phone use in total and cordless phone use in 3 different age groups for the first use; <20 years, 20–49 years, and >50 years. The analyses included also ipsilateral and contralateral use. No statistically significant increased or decreased risks were found (data not shown).
Multivariate and conditional logistic regression analysis
Results are documented in Table V for multivariate analysis of cumulative use and per year of latency adjusted for years of use of any mobile or cordless phone before the respective type. The risk increased with statistical significance for cordless phone use with OR=1.009, 95% CI=1.004–1.013 per 100-h use. The risk per year of latency was not statistically significantly increased for any wireless phone type.
Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for meningioma per 100 h cumulative use in a multivariate analysis, and per year of latency adjusted for years of use of any mobile or cordless phone prior to the respective type.
We also used conditional logistic regression analysis to examine whether dissolving of the matching had an impact on the results. This produced overall for mobile phone use OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.8–1.2 vs. OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.9–1.2 in the unconditional regression analysis. The corresponding results for cordless phones were OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.9–1.2 vs. OR=1.1, 95% CI=0.9–1.3, and for wireless phones in total OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.8–1.1 vs. OR=1.0, 95% CI=0.9–1.2 (data not shown).
The main result of the present study was that no overall association was noted between use of wireless phones and meningioma. However, a somewhat higher OR was found in the longest latency group, >25 years, for use of mobile phones. A similar result was found for use of cordless phones in the latency group >20–25 years, the longest time for that phone type. However, these results were not statistically significant and no statistically significant increased OR was calculated per year of latency.
The highest absorption of RF-EMF emissions from a handheld phone is on the same side of the brain (ipsilateral) as the phone is used, with the highest dose in the temporal lobe (17). In the present study, there was no statistically significant association according to laterality or to anatomical localization of meningioma.
The cumulative use of wireless phones in our present study was divided into quartiles depending on cumulative use of wireless phones in total among the controls. A modest increased risk was found in the fourth quartile >1,486 h of cumulative use for mobile phones. The result was statistically significant for cordless phones with a statistically significant trend (p<0.0001). We also analyzed the >90th percentile of cumulative use which gave support for an association with use both of mobile and cordless phones. In the multivariate analysis, only cordless phone use remained as a statistically significant risk factor per 100 h of cumulative use. The risk increased somewhat per year of latency for all phone types but was not statistically significant. Thus, taking together the results for mobile phones and cordless phones, an increased risk cannot be excluded among the heaviest users.
Strengths and limitations
Cases from the entire country of Sweden with benign brain tumors diagnosed during 1997–2003 and 2007–2009 were included. We included only cases with a histopathological diagnosis of a brain tumor. Hence, we asked the six regional cancer registries not to report cases with only a clinical diagnosis. The reason was that we wanted to get a valid diagnosis of brain tumor for separate analysis depending on the tumor type. If necessary the histopathological reports were supplemented by records from pathology departments around the country after informed consent from the case. It is not probable that exclusion of cases with only a clinical diagnosis would have biased the results, since criteria for diagnosis are not expected to be related to habits of wireless phone use.
An advantage of the present study was the fairly high response rate among both cases and controls. The response rate was 88% (n=2,068) among the finally included cases with benign brain tumor. Of the controls, 87% (n=3,530) answered the questionnaire. Lower response rates were obtained in the Interphone Study especially for controls; meningioma cases 78%, range by centre 56–92%, (n=2,425), and controls 53%, range 42–74%, (n=7,658) (12). In the recent CERENAT case-control study from France, 75% of the meningioma cases and 45% of the finally included controls responded (18).
In the unconditional logistic regression analysis, all controls, both to cases with malignant and benign brain tumors, were used so as to maximize the statistical power. This was possible since adjustment was made for the matching variables age, gender, and year of diagnosis. In addition, adjustment was made for the socioeconomic index since an association between white-collar work and brain tumors has been reported (16). We also conducted a conditional logistic regression analysis yielding similar results. Thus, the used statistical method did not bias the results.
Results from other studies
In our previous studies, we only included living cases so as to obtain the best assessment of exposure as possible (9,10,19). Excluding deceased cases may theoretically bias the results, notably if there is no association between use of wireless phones and brain tumor in that patient group or even a protective effect. However, meningioma is a benign tumor with good prognosis so few cases were deceased and thus not included in the study.
Ionizing radiation is an established risk factor for brain tumors, generally more strongly associated with meningioma than with glioma. Among atomic bomb survivors, a greatly increased risk for meningioma has been found, as well as among children with radiation therapy for scalp ringworm (4). In a review of estimated exposure doses to the brain in eight cohort studies, no effect modification on the risk by gender, age at exposure, time since exposure or attained age was observed (5). In a study on radiation-associated tumors following therapeutic cranial radiation, there was a positive association between dose of cranial irradiation and development of meningioma with a mean latency of 21.8 years (20). Average time interval may be dependent on dose, and intervals to tumor appearance of 35, 26 and 19–24 years have been reported for low-, moderate-, and high-dose radiation, respectively (21). Thus, regarding RF-EMF emissions and an association with meningioma, long latency times of decades would be expected, even longer than in the present study.
In Interphone, statistically significant decreased meningioma risk with OR=0.79, 95% CI=0.68–0.91 was reported overall (12). No effect modification was found for time since the start of use. With cumulative call time >1,640 h the risk increased somewhat to OR=1.15, 95% CI=0.81–1.62. We have discussed the many shortcomings in Interphone elsewhere (22,23).
In the French case-control study including the time period 2004–2006, an increased risk was found among the heaviest mobile phone users (18). Thus cumulative use >896 h gave OR=2.57, 95% CI=1.02–6.44 for meningioma (p-trend =0.06). Time since first use >10 years yielded OR=1.57, 95% CI=0.64–3.86 (p-trend =0.52), whereas no increased risk was found for shorter time of use. Use of cordless phones was not assessed. The study provided some support of an increased risk for heaviest cumulative use of mobile phones but less clear for latency. Thus, there are some similarities with our findings.
In conclusion, in the present study, no conclusive evidence of an association between use of mobile and cordless phones and meningioma was found. However, an increased risk was noted among heavy users of mobile and cordless phones, especially in the highest decile of cumulative use. The risk increased somewhat with latency, although the result was not statistically significant. Meningioma risk was not associated with tumor localization or ipsilateral use. However, taking the long latency periods that have been reported for the increased meningioma risk associated with exposure to ionizing radiation it remains too early to make a definitive risk assessment. Results for even longer latency periods of wireless phone use than in this study are desirable.
Mr. Brian Stein is acknowledged for general support. The study was supported by grants from the Cancer-och Allergifonden, Cancerhjälpen, Pandora-Foundation for Independent Research, Berlin, Germany, Environmental Health Trust and Kone Foundation, Helsinki, Finland. The authors thank Ms Iréne Larsson for assistance in the data collection and Professor Kjell Hansson Mild for technical advice.
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